KS-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
5.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
5.0enters as 5.0
Democrats win
95.0enters as 100 − 95.0 = 5.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does KS-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?4.2Will Sharice Davids win the Kansas 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0Will Republican win the House race for KS-03? - Eric Jenkins2.5Kansas-03 House Winner - Eric Jenkins6.0Kansas-03 House Winner - Sharice Davids98.0KS-03 General Election — Eric Jenkins10.0
Show all 9 contracts
KS-03 General Election — Sharice Davids91.0Will Democratic win the House race for KS-03? - Sharice Davids96.1Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?95.5
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 5.0 · rows open on the exchange
Other Kansas races this cycle