Kansas Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected flip to Rep·$15K traded / 24h·16 contracts·6 exchanges·Margin rank 3 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
72.8Lean R · ▼ 2.2 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
72.8
enters as 72.8
Democrats win
27.3
enters as 100 − 27.3 = 72.8

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Kansas

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 16

Sorted by weight

Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?27.0Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 73.0weight 87.7%Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?72.5Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 72.5weight 7.4%Will the Republicans win the 2026 Kansas Governor election?76.0Manifold ◦ ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 76.0weight 4.5%Will the Republicans win the 2026 Kansas Governor election?74.4Manifold ◦ ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 74.4weight 0.2%Kansas Governor Winner - Ty Masterson80.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 80.0weight 0.2%Kansas Governor Winner - Cindy Holscher27.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 73.0weight 0.0%
Show all 16 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 72.8 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
✦ ASK ABOUT THIS RACE