KY-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
92.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
92.0enters as 92.0
Democrats win
8.0enters as 100 − 8.0 = 92.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does KY-02 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
KY-02 General Election — William Compton4.0KY-02 General Election — Megan Wingfield7.0KY-02 General Election — Brett Guthrie91.0Will Megan Wingfield win the Kentucky 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will William Compton win the Kentucky 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0Will Brett Guthrie win the Kentucky 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0
Show all 10 contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for KY-02? - Megan Wingfield3.0Will Republican win the House race for KY-02? - Brett Guthrie97.8Will the Republican Party win the KY-02 House seat?96.7Will the Democratic Party win the KY-02 House seat?2.6
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 92.0 · rows open on the exchange
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