FL-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
91.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
91.8enters as 91.8
Democrats win
8.2enters as 100 − 8.2 = 91.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does FL-02 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?8.5Will Democratic win the House race for FL-02? - Amanda Green7.8Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?91.5Will Republican win the House race for FL-02? - Austin Rogers92.5Florida-02 House Winner - Austin Rogers95.0Florida-02 House Winner - Amanda Green10.0
Show all 10 contracts
FL-02 General Election — Amanda Green11.0FL-02 General Election — Austin Rogers88.0Will Austin Rogers win the Florida 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will Amanda Green win the Florida 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?65.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 91.8 · rows open on the exchange
Other Florida races this cycle