LA-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.3enters as 4.3
Democrats win
95.8enters as 100 − 95.8 = 4.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does LA-02 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
LA-02 General Election — Ray Smith2.0LA-02 General Election — Troy Carter92.0Will Democratic win the House race for LA-02? - Democratic party95.3Will Republican win the House race for LA-02? - Republican party3.8Will Troy Carter win the Louisiana 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?80.0Will Ray Smith win the Louisiana 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?1.5Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?97.4
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 4.3 · rows open on the exchange
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