MA-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.2enters as 2.2
Democrats win
97.8enters as 100 − 97.8 = 2.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MA-02 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 6
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?2.6Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?97.8Will Democratic win the House race for MA-02? - Jim McGovern99.0MA-02 General Election — Jim McGovern97.5Will Republican win the House race for MA-02? - Republican party2.1Will Jim McGovern win the Massachusetts 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.2 · rows open on the exchange
Other Massachusetts races this cycle