Massachusetts Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$193K traded / 24h·15 contracts·7 exchanges·Margin rank 23 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.6Safe D · ▼ 0.3 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.6
enters as 4.6
Democrats win
95.4
enters as 100 − 95.4 = 4.6

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Massachusetts

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 15

Sorted by weight

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Massachusetts - Mike Minogue4.7Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 4.7weight 82.8%Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Massachusetts - Maura Healey95.4Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 4.6weight 13.7%Will Maura Healey be reelected as Governor of Massachusetts in 2026?96.0Manifold ◦ ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 4.0weight 3.3%Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?4.5Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 4.5weight 0.3%Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?95.5Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 4.6weight 0.0%Massachusetts Governor General Election — Brian Shortsleeve2.5IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 2.5weight 0.0%
Show all 15 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 4.6 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
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