MA-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.6enters as 1.6
Democrats win
98.4enters as 100 − 98.4 = 1.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MA-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the MA-03 House seat?1.4MA-03 General Election — Gary Grossi5.0MA-03 General Election — Lori Trahan98.0Will Democratic win the House race for MA-03? - Lori Trahan97.0Will Republican win the House race for MA-03? - Gary Grossi2.9Will Lori Trahan win the Massachusetts 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.6 · rows open on the exchange
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