MN-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
5.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
5.9enters as 5.9
Democrats win
94.1enters as 100 − 94.1 = 5.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MN-02 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 13
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?94.1Minnesota-02 House Winner - Eric Pratt7.0Minnesota-02 House Winner - Matt Little96.0MN-02 General Election — Tyler Kistner4.0MN-02 General Election — Eric Pratt10.0MN-02 General Election — Matt Little89.0
Show all 13 contracts
Will a Democrat win the House race for MN-2? - Matt Little92.9Will a Republican win the House race for MN-2? - Eric Pratt7.6Will Kaela Berg win the Minnesota 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?50.0Will Matt Little win the Minnesota 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will Eric Pratt win the Minnesota 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0Will Tyler Kistner win the Minnesota 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?4.0Will the Republican Party win the MN-02 House seat?5.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 5.9 · rows open on the exchange
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