Minnesota Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
15.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
15.9enters as 15.9
Democrats win
84.1enters as 100 − 84.1 = 15.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Minnesota decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Likely D, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.2.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Minnesota? - Michele Tafoya16.0Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?85.5Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?14.5Will Michele Tafoya win the Minnesota general election for US Senate in 2026?17.0Minnesota US Senate Winner - Michele Tafoya19.0Minnesota US Senate Winner - Peggy Flanagan86.0
Show all 11 contracts
Minnesota Senate General Election — Michele Tafoya15.0Minnesota Senate General Election — Peggy Flanagan87.0Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota general election for US Senate in 2026?86.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Minnesota? - Republican (Tafoya)16.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Minnesota? - Democrats (Flanagan)86.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 15.9 · rows open on the exchange
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