Minnesota Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$12K traded / 24h·22 contracts·7 exchanges·Margin rank 21 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
5.1Safe D · ▲ 0.2 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
5.1
enters as 5.1
Democrats win
94.9
enters as 100 − 94.9 = 5.1

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Minnesota

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 22

Sorted by weight

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Minnesota - Lisa Demuth5.1Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.1weight 78.5%Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Minnesota - Amy Klobuchar94.9Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 5.1weight 13.0%Amy klobuchar wins 2026 Minnesota Governor Election?96.0Manifold ◦ ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 4.0weight 8.5%Minnesota Governor General Election — Mike Lindell2.5IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 2.5weight 0.0%Minnesota Governor General Election — Lisa Demuth5.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%Minnesota Governor General Election — Amy Klobuchar95.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%
Show all 22 contracts
Minnesota Governor Winner - Mike Lindell50.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 50.0weight 0.0%Minnesota Governor Winner - Lisa Demuth8.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 8.0weight 0.0%Minnesota Governor Winner - Scott Jensen99.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 99.0weight 0.0%Minnesota Governor Winner - Amy Klobuchar97.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 3.0weight 0.0%Minnesota Governor Winner - Kendall Qualls99.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 99.0weight 0.0%Minnesota Governor Winner - Melvin Carter99.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 1.0weight 0.0%Minnesota Governor Winner - Ryan Wilson99.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 1.0weight 0.0%Minnesota Governor Winner - Peggy Flanagan99.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 1.0weight 0.0%Will Lisa Demuth win the Minnesota general election for Governor in 2026?5.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%Will Amy Klobuchar win the Minnesota general election for Governor in 2026?95.0ForecastEx ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%Will Mike Lindell win the Minnesota general election for Governor in 2026?1.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 1.0weight 0.0%Will Christopher Seymore win the Minnesota general election for Governor in 2026?22.0ForecastEx ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 78.0weight 0.0%Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Minnesota? - Republican6.0PredictIt ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 6.0weight 0.0%Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Minnesota? - Democratic94.0PredictIt ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 6.0weight 0.0%Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?95.0Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?4.6Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 4.6weight 0.0%
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Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 5.1 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
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