MS-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.4enters as 97.4
Democrats win
2.6enters as 100 − 2.6 = 97.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MS-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
MS-03 General Election — Michael Chiaradio5.0MS-03 General Election — Michael Guest96.0Will Democratic win the House race for MS-03? - Michael Chiaradio1.8Will Republican win the House race for MS-03? - Michael Guest95.2Will Michael Guest win the Mississippi 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?87.0Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?98.4
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.4 · rows open on the exchange
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