NC-10 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
94.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
94.3enters as 94.3
Democrats win
5.7enters as 100 − 5.7 = 94.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NC-10 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the NC-10 House seat?95.2NC-10 General Election — Ashley Bell10.0NC-10 General Election — Pat Harrigan90.0Will Pat Harrigan win the North Carolina 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will Ashley Bell win the North Carolina 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0Will Democratic win the House race for NC-10? - Ashley Bell6.7
Show all 8 contracts
Will Republican win the House race for NC-10? - Pat Harrigan93.2Will the Democratic Party win the NC-10 House seat?5.1
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 94.3 · rows open on the exchange
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