NC-12 House 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·No 24h trading · standing quotes·9 contracts·4 exchanges·Margin rank 404 of 435
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.7Safe D · 0.0 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.7
enters as 1.7
Democrats win
98.3
enters as 100 − 98.3 = 1.7

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the House

Does NC-12 decide the House?

No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
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