NY-06 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.9enters as 1.9
Democrats win
98.1enters as 100 − 98.1 = 1.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NY-06 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for NY-06? - Joseph Chou1.9NY-06 General Election — Joseph Chou3.0NY-06 General Election — Grace Meng97.0Will Democratic win the House race for NY-06? - Grace Meng94.1Will Grace Meng win the New York 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will the Republican Party win the NY-06 House seat?0.6
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.9 · rows open on the exchange
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