NJ-07 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
6.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
6.6enters as 6.6
Democrats win
93.4enters as 100 − 93.4 = 6.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NJ-07 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-7? - Rebecca Bennett92.3Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?94.0NJ-07 General Election — Tom Kean Jr.13.0NJ-07 General Election — Rebecca Bennett89.0New Jersey-07 House Winner - Tom Kean Jr.9.0New Jersey-07 House Winner - Rebecca Bennett96.0
Show all 11 contracts
Will Republican win the House race for NJ-7? - Thomas Kean Jr.5.9Will Susan Altman win the New Jersey 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?45.0Will Rebecca Bennett win the New Jersey 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will Tom Kean Jr. win the New Jersey 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?13.0Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat?5.5
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 6.6 · rows open on the exchange
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