NV-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.3enters as 4.3
Democrats win
95.7enters as 100 − 95.7 = 4.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NV-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?95.8Nevada-01 House Winner - Carrie Buck7.0Nevada-01 House Winner - Dina Titus97.0NV-01 General Election — Carrie Buck6.0NV-01 General Election — Dina Titus94.0Will a Democrat win the House race for NV-1? - Dina Titus95.4
Show all 10 contracts
Will a Republican win the House race for NV-1? - Carrie Buck5.5Will Dina Titus win the Nevada 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?87.0Will Carrie Buck win the Nevada 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?13.0Will the Republican Party win the NV-01 House seat?4.3
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 4.3 · rows open on the exchange
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