NV-04 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.4enters as 3.4
Democrats win
96.7enters as 100 − 96.7 = 3.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NV-04 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Nevada-04 House Winner - Steven Horsford98.0Nevada-04 House Winner - Cody Whipple6.0NV-04 General Election — Cody Whipple10.0NV-04 General Election — Steven Horsford91.0Will a Democrat win the House race for NV-4? - Steven Horsford96.6Will a Republican win the House race for NV-4? - Cody Whipple4.3
Show all 9 contracts
Will Steven Horsford win the Nevada 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0Will the Republican Party win the NV-04 House seat?3.1Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?96.4
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.4 · rows open on the exchange
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