NY-10 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.5enters as 1.5
Democrats win
98.5enters as 100 − 98.5 = 1.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NY-10 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 38 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-10? - Brad Lander98.9Will Republican win the House race for NY-10? - Jennifer Moore1.9NY-10 General Election — Dan Goldman2.5NY-10 General Election — Jennifer Moore4.0NY-10 General Election — Brad Lander96.0Will Brad Lander win the New York 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?99.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will Dan Goldman win the New York 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?2.0Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?2.0Will the Democratic Party win the NY-10 House seat?97.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.5 · rows open on the exchange
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