NY-11 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
92.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
92.7enters as 92.7
Democrats win
7.3enters as 100 − 7.3 = 92.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NY-11 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 38 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?92.6Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?6.5Will Democratic win the House race for NY-11? - Michael DeCillis9.6Will Republican win the House race for NY-11? - Nicole Malliotakis91.9NY-11 General Election — Mike DeCillis5.0NY-11 General Election — Nicole Malliotakis95.0
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Will Mike DeCillis win the New York 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0Will Nicole Malliotakis win the New York 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?86.0
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Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 92.7 · rows open on the exchange
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