OH-08 House 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·$6 traded / 24h·10 contracts·4 exchanges·Margin rank 106 of 435
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
92.7Safe R · ▲ 1.7 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
92.7
enters as 92.7
Democrats win
7.3
enters as 100 − 7.3 = 92.7

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the House

Does OH-08 decide the House?

No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Full House picture
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10

Sorted by weight

Will Republican win the House race for OH-08? - Warren Davidson93.0Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 93.0weight 50.0%Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?93.5Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 93.5weight 50.0%OH-08 General Election — Madaris Grant2.5IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 97.5weight 0.0%OH-08 General Election — Vanessa Enoch11.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 89.0weight 0.0%OH-08 General Election — Warren Davidson89.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 89.0weight 0.0%Will Vanessa Enoch win the Ohio 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?11.0ForecastEx ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 89.0weight 0.0%
Show all 10 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 92.7 · rows open on the exchange
Other Ohio races this cycle

Also on the ballot