NY-16 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.7enters as 4.7
Democrats win
95.3enters as 100 − 95.3 = 4.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NY-16 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
NY-16 General Election — Joseph Cinquemani4.0NY-16 General Election — George Latimer96.0Will Democratic win the House race for NY-16? - George Latimer98.8Will Republican win the House race for NY-16? - Joseph Cinquemani8.4Will George Latimer win the New York 16th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will the Republican Party win the NY-16 House seat?2.5
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 4.7 · rows open on the exchange
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