IL-08 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.7enters as 4.7
Democrats win
95.3enters as 100 − 95.3 = 4.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does IL-08 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat?4.5Will Democratic win the House race for IL-08? - Melissa Bean96.1Illinois-08 House Winner - Jennifer Davis7.0Illinois-08 House Winner - Melissa Bean98.0IL-08 General Election — Jennifer Davis7.0IL-08 General Election — Melissa Bean90.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will Jennifer Davis win the Illinois 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Republican win the House race for IL-08? - Jennifer Davis5.4Will the Democratic Party win the IL-08 House seat?95.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 4.7 · rows open on the exchange
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