Ohio Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
32.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
32.1enters as 32.1
Democrats win
67.9enters as 100 − 67.9 = 32.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Ohio decide the Senate?
Not by itself. It is inside the Democrats’ path.
Democrats need 4 of the 7 contested seats; Ohio is priced as their 3rd most likely win. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.3.
MOST LIKELY DEMOCRATICSEAT PMI
Alaska27.4Michigan31.4Ohio32.1
TexasTIPS CONTROL34.3Maine38.2Iowa58.3Kansas60.3MOST LIKELY REPUBLICAN
Democrats need 51 seats, Republicans 50 (the Republican Vice President breaks ties). Democrats count from the top, Republicans from the bottom.
Full Senate pictureContracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio? - Sherrod Brown68.0Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?69.5Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?30.0Will Republicans win the Senate race in Ohio? - Jon Husted33.0Ohio US Senate Winner - Sherrod Brown70.0Ohio US Senate Winner - William Redpath4.0
Show all 12 contracts
Ohio US Senate Winner - Jon Husted49.0Ohio Senate Special Election — Sherrod Brown66.5Ohio Senate Special Election — Jon Husted34.5Will Jon Husted win the Ohio special election for US Senate in 2026?34.0Will Sherrod Brown win the Ohio special election for US Senate in 2026?68.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate special election in Ohio? - Republican (Husted)30.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 32.1 · rows open on the exchange
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