Ohio Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected flip to Dem·$614K traded / 24h·16 contracts·8 exchanges·Margin rank 6 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
22.8Likely D · ▼ 9.2 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
22.8
enters as 22.8
Democrats win
77.2
enters as 100 − 77.2 = 22.8

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Ohio

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 16

Sorted by weight

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Ohio - Vivek Ramaswamy24.0Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 24.0weight 66.9%Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Ohio - Amy Acton77.0Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 23.0weight 17.2%Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?55.2Manifold ◦ ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 55.2weight 7.2%Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?20.5Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 20.5weight 6.3%Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?79.5Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 20.5weight 2.1%Ohio Governor Winner - Vivek Ramaswamy25.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 25.0weight 0.3%
Show all 16 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 22.8 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
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