OR-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.3enters as 2.3
Democrats win
97.7enters as 100 − 97.7 = 2.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does OR-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?2.8Will Republican win the House race for OR-01? - Barbara Kahl1.3Will Democratic win the House race for OR-01? - Suzanne Bonamici98.9OR-01 General Election — Barbara Kahl3.0OR-01 General Election — Suzanne Bonamici97.0Will Suzanne Bonamici win the Oregon 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?97.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.3 · rows open on the exchange
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