Oregon Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$10K traded / 24h·10 contracts·5 exchanges·Margin rank 9 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
20.0Likely D · ▼ 6.0 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
20.0
enters as 20.0
Democrats win
80.0
enters as 100 − 80.0 = 20.0

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

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Also on the ballot in Oregon

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