PA-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.8enters as 1.8
Democrats win
98.2enters as 100 − 98.2 = 1.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does PA-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-05 House seat?98.0PA-05 General Election — Nick Manganaro6.0PA-05 General Election — Mary Gay Scanlon97.0Will Democratic win the House race for PA-05? - Mary Gay Scanlon98.5Will Republican win the House race for PA-05? - Nicholas Manganaro0.4Will Mary Gay Scanlon win the Pennsylvania 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?97.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.8 · rows open on the exchange
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