Pennsylvania Governor 2026
The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.7enters as 2.7
Democrats win
97.3enters as 100 − 97.3 = 2.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Other 2026 races
Also on the ballot in Pennsylvania
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Pennsylvania - Stacy Garrity3.1Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Pennsylvania - Josh Shapiro97.6Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?2.2Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?97.8Pennsylvania Governor General Election — Stacy Garrity2.5Pennsylvania Governor General Election — Josh Shapiro97.0
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Pennsylvania Governor Winner - Josh Shapiro99.0Pennsylvania Governor Winner - Stacy Garrity6.0Will Stacy Garrity win the Pennsylvania general election for Governor in 2026?2.0Will Josh Shapiro win the Pennsylvania general election for Governor in 2026?97.0Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Pennsylvania? - Republican4.0Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Pennsylvania? - Democratic97.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.7 · rows open on the exchange
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