TX-06 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
98.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
98.2enters as 98.2
Democrats win
1.8enters as 100 − 1.8 = 98.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-06 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-06? - Danny Minton4.4TX-06 General Election — Danny Minton7.0TX-06 General Election — Jake Ellzey92.0Will Jake Ellzey win the Texas 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?92.0Will James Buford win the Texas 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Danny Minton win the Texas 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will Republican win the House race for TX-06? - Jake Ellzey97.9Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?98.9Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?1.1
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 98.2 · rows open on the exchange
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