PA-10 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
19.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
19.6enters as 19.6
Democrats win
80.5enters as 100 − 80.5 = 19.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does PA-10 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-10? - Janelle Stelson81.0Will Republican win the House race for PA-10? - Scott Perry20.0Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?19.5Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?79.5Pennsylvania-10 House Winner - Scott Perry22.0Pennsylvania-10 House Winner - Janelle Stelson82.0
Show all 12 contracts
PA-10 General Election — Justin Douglas4.5PA-10 General Election — Scott Perry20.5PA-10 General Election — Janelle Stelson78.5Will Scott Perry win the Pennsylvania 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?20.0Will Janelle Stelson win the Pennsylvania 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?79.0Will Justin Douglas win the Pennsylvania 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?4.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 19.6 · rows open on the exchange
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