PA-11 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
95.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
95.3enters as 95.3
Democrats win
4.7enters as 100 − 4.7 = 95.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does PA-11 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-11? - Nancy Mannion6.0Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?95.5PA-11 General Election — Nancy Mannion7.0PA-11 General Election — Lloyd Smucker90.0Will Republican win the House race for PA-11? - Lloyd Smucker95.6Will Lloyd Smucker win the Pennsylvania 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 95.3 · rows open on the exchange
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