SC-04 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
95.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
95.6enters as 95.6
Democrats win
4.4enters as 100 − 4.4 = 95.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does SC-04 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for SC-04? - Courtney McClain5.0SC-04 General Election — Courtney McClain5.0SC-04 General Election — William Timmons90.0Will Courtney McClain win the South Carolina 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?12.0Will William Timmons win the South Carolina 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will Republican win the House race for SC-04? - William Timmons95.9
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?95.5Will the Democratic Party win the SC-04 House seat?3.6
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 95.6 · rows open on the exchange
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