South Carolina Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
76.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
76.1enters as 76.1
Democrats win
23.9enters as 100 − 23.9 = 76.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does South Carolina decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.3.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 16
Sorted by weight
Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina? - Annie Andrews24.0Will Republicans win the Senate race in South Carolina? - Darline Graham77.0Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?23.0Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?21.5Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?78.5Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election?75.0
Show all 16 contracts
Will Lindsey Graham win the South Carolina general election for US Senate in 2026?6.0Will Darline Graham win the South Carolina general election for US Senate in 2026?81.0Will Annie Andrews win the South Carolina general election for US Senate in 2026?22.0South Carolina US Senate Winner - Annie Andrews26.0South Carolina US Senate Winner - Darline Graham79.0South Carolina Senate General Election — Annie Andrews22.0South Carolina Senate General Election — Darline Graham81.0South Carolina US Senate Winner - Lindsey Graham4.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in South Carolina? - Democratic (Andrews)23.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in South Carolina? - Republican (Graham)79.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 76.1 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
Other South Carolina races this cycle