SC-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
93.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
93.1enters as 93.1
Democrats win
6.9enters as 100 − 6.9 = 93.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does SC-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 6
Sorted by weight
SC-05 General Election — Mallory Dittmer6.0SC-05 General Election — Wes Climer89.0Will Democratic win the House race for SC-05? - Mallory Dittmer6.9Will Republican win the House race for SC-05? - Wes Climer93.1Will the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?93.0Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?6.5
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 93.1 · rows open on the exchange
Other South Carolina races this cycle