SC-06 House 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$22 traded / 24h·10 contracts·4 exchanges·Margin rank 223 of 435
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.7Safe D · ▲ 1.2 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.7
enters as 3.7
Democrats win
96.3
enters as 100 − 96.3 = 3.7

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the House

Does SC-06 decide the House?

No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Full House picture
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10

Sorted by weight

Will Democratic win the House race for SC-06? - Jim Clyburn97.7Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 2.3weight 100.0%SC-06 General Election — Maurice Washington6.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 6.0weight 0.0%SC-06 General Election — John Peterson7.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 7.0weight 0.0%SC-06 General Election — Jim Clyburn91.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 9.0weight 0.0%Will John Peterson win the South Carolina 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 7.0weight 0.0%Will Jim Clyburn win the South Carolina 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0ForecastEx ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 9.0weight 0.0%
Show all 10 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.7 · rows open on the exchange
Other South Carolina races this cycle

Also on the ballot