SC-07 House 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·$72 traded / 24h·10 contracts·4 exchanges·Margin rank 149 of 435
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
94.9Safe R · ▼ 1.0 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
94.9
enters as 94.9
Democrats win
5.1
enters as 100 − 5.1 = 94.9

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the House

Does SC-07 decide the House?

No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Full House picture
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10

Sorted by weight

Will Republican win the House race for SC-07? - Russell Fry95.2Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 95.2weight 100.0%SC-07 General Election — John Vincent5.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%SC-07 General Election — John Vincent5.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%SC-07 General Election — Russell Fry89.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 89.0weight 0.0%Will Democratic win the House race for SC-07? - John Vincent5.4Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 94.6weight 0.0%Will John Vincent win the South Carolina 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?5.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%
Show all 10 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 94.9 · rows open on the exchange
Other South Carolina races this cycle

Also on the ballot