TX-14 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.5enters as 97.5
Democrats win
2.5enters as 100 − 2.5 = 97.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-14 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the TX-14 House seat?97.2TX-14 General Election — Thurman Bill Bartie10.0TX-14 General Election — Randy Weber90.0Will Randy Weber win the Texas 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will Jessica Forgy win the Texas 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Thurman Bill Bartie win the Texas 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-14? - Thurman Bartie4.1Will Republican win the House race for TX-14? - Randy Weber96.9Will the Democratic Party win the TX-14 House seat?2.2
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.5 · rows open on the exchange
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