TX-17 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.5enters as 96.5
Democrats win
3.5enters as 100 − 3.5 = 96.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-17 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for TX-17? - Pete Sessions97.3TX-17 General Election — Casey Shepard10.0TX-17 General Election — Pete Sessions90.0TX-17 General Election — Jamilah Flores50.0Will Pete Sessions win the Texas 17th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will Casey Shepard win the Texas 17th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0
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Will J. Gordon Mitchell win the Texas 17th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Jamilah Flores win the Texas 17th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Democratic win the House race for TX-17? - Casey Shepard5.5Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?96.7Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?3.7
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.5 · rows open on the exchange
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