TX-27 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
93.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
93.8enters as 93.8
Democrats win
6.3enters as 100 − 6.3 = 93.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-27 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-27? - Tanya Lloyd6.5TX-27 General Election — Tanya Lloyd9.0TX-27 General Election — Michael Cloud90.0Will Michael Cloud win the Texas 27th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will Tanya Lloyd win the Texas 27th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0Will Eustaquio Castro-Mendoza win the Texas 27th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will Republican win the House race for TX-27? - Michael Cloud94.0Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?95.1Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?3.6
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 93.8 · rows open on the exchange
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