UT-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.2enters as 3.2
Democrats win
96.8enters as 100 − 96.8 = 3.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does UT-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?96.5Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?2.9Will Republican win the House race for UT-01? - Riley Owen4.9Utah-01 House Winner - Riley Owen6.0Utah-01 House Winner - Ben McAdams96.0UT-01 General Election — Riley Owen9.0
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UT-01 General Election — Ben McAdams94.0Will Riley Owen win the Utah 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0Will Ben McAdams win the Utah 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?99.0Will Democratic win the House race for UT-01? - Ben McAdams97.6
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.2 · rows open on the exchange