Virginia Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.1enters as 2.1
Democrats win
97.8enters as 100 − 97.8 = 2.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Virginia decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.3.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Virginia? - Bert Mizusawa2.3Will Democratics win the Senate race in Virginia? - Mark Warner98.0Virginia US Senate Winner - Mark Moran2.0Virginia US Senate Winner - Mark Warner98.0Virginia Senate General Election — Kim Farington3.0Virginia Senate General Election — Bert Mizusawa4.0
Show all 12 contracts
Virginia Senate General Election — Mark Warner96.0Will the Democratic party win the Virginia general election for US Senate in 2026?90.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Virginia? - GOP (Mizusawa)2.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Virginia? - Democratic (Warner)98.0Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?98.5Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?1.7
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.1 · rows open on the exchange
Other Virginia races this cycle