WA-08 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.3enters as 1.3
Democrats win
98.7enters as 100 − 98.7 = 1.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does WA-08 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Washington-08 House Winner - Trinh Ha3.0Washington-08 House Winner - Kim Schrier98.0WA-08 General Election — Spencer Meline6.0WA-08 General Election — Kim Schrier97.5Will a Democrat win the House race for WA-08? - Kim Schrier93.4Will a Republican win the House race for WA-08? - Spencer Meline1.3
Show all 9 contracts
Will Kim Schrier win the Washington 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?86.0Will the Republican Party win the WA-08 House seat?1.2Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?98.7
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.3 · rows open on the exchange