WA-09 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.8enters as 1.8
Democrats win
98.2enters as 100 − 98.2 = 1.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does WA-09 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 6
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for WA-09? - Adam Smith98.9Will Republican win the House race for WA-09? - Doug Basler2.3WA-09 General Election — Doug Basler5.0WA-09 General Election — Adam Smith96.0Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?2.0Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat?97.0
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.8 · rows open on the exchange