WA-10 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.9enters as 3.9
Democrats win
96.1enters as 100 − 96.1 = 3.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does WA-10 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for WA-10? - Marilyn Strickland98.5WA-10 General Election — Chris Chung4.0WA-10 General Election — Marilyn Strickland95.0Will Republican win the House race for WA-10? - Chris D. Chung6.3Will Marilyn Strickland win the Washington 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?87.0Will the Republican Party win the WA-10 House seat?2.4
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.9 · rows open on the exchange