WI-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.5enters as 96.5
Democrats win
3.5enters as 100 − 3.5 = 96.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does WI-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?3.3WI-05 General Election — Andrew Beck3.0WI-05 General Election — Scott Fitzgerald97.5Will Democratic win the House race for WI-05? - Andrew Beck3.7Will Republican win the House race for WI-05? - Scott Fitzgerald95.7Will Scott Fitzgerald win the Wisconsin 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?92.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.5 · rows open on the exchange
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