Alabama Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
98.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
98.8enters as 98.8
Democrats win
1.2enters as 100 − 1.2 = 98.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Alabama decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.2.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 13
Sorted by weight
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alabama? - Everett Wess2.1Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alabama? - Barry Moore98.4Alabama Senate General Election — Kyle Sweetser2.5Alabama Senate General Election — Everett Wess4.0Alabama Senate General Election — Barry Moore94.0Will the Republican party win the Alabama general election for US Senate in 2026?87.0
Show all 13 contracts
Will the Democratic party win the Alabama general election for US Senate in 2026?14.0Alabama US Senate Winner - Everett Wess4.0Alabama US Senate Winner - Barry Moore98.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Alabama? - Democratic (Wess)8.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Alabama? - Republican (Moore)96.0Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?1.2Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?98.9
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 98.8 · rows open on the exchange
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