[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. Only one exchange lists it today.
LIVE1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·UKRAINE
What the market prices
7.4%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Manifold
30d low 7.2 · Oct 1230d high 10.2 · Sep 27
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
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