Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under the 2023 peace proposal?
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. Only one exchange lists it today.
LIVE1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·UKRAINE
What the market prices
20%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Manifold
30d low 16.8 · Oct 2730d high 19.6 · Oct 27
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
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