Will China intervene and offer Iran nuclear power plants, ending the war, in 2026?
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. Only one exchange lists it today.
LIVE1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·CHINA
What the market prices
3.6%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Manifold
30d low 3.6 · Sep 2830d high 3.6 · Sep 28
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
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